The 2012 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and the 2012 presidential election. The primary election was held on June 12, 2012.

Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Dean Heller, who was appointed to his seat in May 2011 following the resignation of Senator John Ensign, was narrowly elected to a full term over Representative Shelley Berkley, despite President Barack Obama carrying the state by 6.7% in the concurrent presidential election. As a result, Heller became the only Republican Senate candidate in 2012 to win in a state that was lost by the Republican presidential candidate. With a margin of 1.2%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2012 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in North Dakota. As of 2025, this is the last time that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in Nevada.

Background

Ensign was re-elected to the United States Senate in 2006 against Jack Carter, son of former president Jimmy Carter, 55% to 41%. His re-election campaign was expected to be complicated after it was revealed in 2009 that he had been involved in an extramarital affair with the wife of one of his campaign staffers, allegedly made payments to the woman's family and arranged work for her husband to cover himself.

The Senate Ethics Committee was to investigate Ensign, and his poll numbers declined significantly. There was speculation that he might resign before the election, but he initially said he would run for reelection. On March 7, 2011, Ensign announced that he would not seek reelection, and on April 22, he announced that he would resign effective May 3.

Nevada Governor Brian Sandoval appointed U.S. Representative Dean Heller to fill the vacancy created by Ensign's resignation. Heller took office on May 9, 2011.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Dean Heller, incumbent U.S. senator, former U.S. representative, former Nevada secretary of state and former state assemblyman

Eliminated in primary

  • Sherry Brooks, retired secretary
  • Richard Charles
  • Eddie Hamilton, retired auto executive and perennial candidate
  • Carlo Poliak, sanitation worker and perennial candidate
  • David Lory Vanderbeek, marriage and family therapist

Declined

Polling

Primary

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorSharron AngleJohn ChachasJohn EnsignDean HellerBrian KrolickiSue LowdenDanny TarkanianUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011400±4.9%9%5%20%30%6%12%10%8%

Appointment preference

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorSue LowdenBrian SandovalDanny TarkanianUndecided
Mason-Dixon/LVJROctober 8, 20094%24%14%17%17%21%

Primaries with Ensign

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJohn EnsignDean HellerOtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingOctober 7–9, 2010400±4.9%45%37%––18%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011400±4.9%34%52%––13%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJohn EnsignBrian KrolickiOtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingOctober 7–9, 2010400±4.9%55%27%––18%

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDean Heller (incumbent)88,95886.3
RepublicanSherry Brooks5,3565.2
None of These Candidates3,3583.3
RepublicanEddie "In Liberty" Hamilton2,6282.6
RepublicanRichard Charles2,2952.2
RepublicanCarlo "Nakusa" Poliak5120.5
Total votes103,107100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorShelley BerkleyByron GeorgiouOtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 21–24, 2011300±5.7%65%8%––27%
Public Policy PollingJuly 28–31, 2011400±4.9%71%6%––23%

Results

Results by county: Berkley—80–90% Berkley—70–80% Berkley—60–70% Berkley—50–60% Berkley—40–50%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticShelley Berkley62,08179.5
DemocraticNancy Price4,2105.4
DemocraticSteve Brown3,9985.1
None of These Candidates3,6374.7
DemocraticBarry Ellsworth2,4913.2
DemocraticLouis Macias1,7142.2
Total votes78,131100

General election

Candidates

Campaign

On July 9, the United States House Committee on Ethics voted unanimously to form an investigative subcommittee to see whether Berkley used her official position to advocate for policy that benefited her family's financial situation. More specifically, Berkley was accused of pushing healthcare legislation that would benefit her husband's medical practice as well as she was blamed for her efforts to block the closure of a kidney transplant center where her husband was employed.

Debates

The first Berkley-Heller debate was on September 27, 2012. They met again in Las Vegas on October 11 and on Jon Ralston's "Face to Face" program on October 15.

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Dean Heller (R)$8,447,489$6,510,874$1,936,618$0
Shelley Berkley (D)$8,779,074$8,947,424$924,918$0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Shelly BerkleyContributionDean HellerContribution
EMILY's List$93,049Las Vegas Sands$43,750
NORPAC$59,750MGM Resorts International$35,500
MGM Resorts International$53,700Alliance Resource Partners$34,500
DaVita Inc.$49,300Crow Holdings$30,000
Diamond Resorts$44,000Elliott Management Corporation$29,413
Cantor Fitzgerald$27,000Brady Industries$25,000
Caesars Entertainment$26,000Mewbourne Oil Co$25,000
Fresenius Medical Care$24,500Wynn Resorts$22,500
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck$23,650Southwest Gas$21,800
Station Casinos$20,200Bank of America$20,500

Top industries

[citation needed]

Shelley BerkleyContributionDean HellerContribution
Lawyers/law firms$607,407Leadership PACs$379,718
Pro-Israel$384,580Retired$300,560
Health professionals$369,954Financial Institutions$217,084
Women's issues$309,817Real estate$206,362
Leadership PACs$292,500Casinos/gambling$205,832
Retired$281,490Oil & gas$187,500
Real estate$261,779Insurance$182,155
Financial institutions$228,393Lobbyists$159,812
Casinos/gambling$227,350Mining$149,745
Lobbyists$175,147Health professionals$132,450

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorDean Heller (R)Shelley Berkley (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011932±3.2%51%38%16%
Public Policy PollingApril 21–24, 2011491±4.4%47%43%10%
Public Policy PollingJuly 28–31, 2011601±4.0%46%43%12%
Public Policy PollingOctober 20–23, 2011500±4.4%45%45%10%
Cannon Survey CenterDecember 12–20, 2011600±4.0%43%44%6.9%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 19, 2012500±4.5%47%40%2%11%
Public Policy PollingMarch 29 – April 1, 2012553±4.2%46%43%12%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 30, 2012500±4.5%51%40%2%8%
NBC News/MaristMay 22–24, 20121,040±3.0%46%44%10%
Public Policy PollingJune 7–10, 2012500±4.4%44%43%13%
Magellan StrategiesJuly 16–17, 2012665±3.8%45%42%13%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 24, 2012500±4.5%51%42%2%5%
LVRJ/Survey USAAugust 16–21, 2012869±3.4%44%39%9%8%
Public Policy PollingAugust 23–26, 2012831±3.4%47%45%8%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 18, 2012500±4.5%42%41%4%12%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 18–20, 2012501±4.4%44%48%8%
NBC/WSJ/MaristSeptember 23–25, 2012984±3.1%49%43%1%6%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 25–27, 20121,152±3.1%45%45%10%
Gravis MarketingOctober 3, 20121,006±3.1%53%36%12%
Precision OpinionOctober 6, 20121,521±2.5%45%43%12%
LVRJ/Survey USAOctober 3–8, 20121,222±2.9%47%39%8%6%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 8, 2012500±4.5%48%45%3%4%
SuffolkOctober 6–9, 2012500±4.4%40%37%7%14%
Public Policy PollingOctober 8–10, 2012594±4.0%47%44%4%5%
LVRJ/Survey USAOctober 11–15, 2012806±3.5%46%40%8%6%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 15, 2012500±4.5%50%43%4%3%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 23, 2012500±4.5%50%45%1%4%
Public Policy PollingOctober 22–24, 2012636±3.9%44%44%7%5%
NBC/WSJ/MaristOctober 23–24, 20121,042±2.8%48%45%2%6%
LVRJ/SurveyUSAOctober 23–29, 20121,212±2.9%46%40%10%4%
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 2012750±3.6%48%46%4%1%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorDean Heller (R)Byron Georgiou (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 21–24, 2011491±4.4%52%28%––20%
Magellan Strategies (R)June 21–22, 2011720±3.65%46%33%––21%
Public Policy PollingJuly 28–31, 2011601±4.0%48%31%––20%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorDean Heller (R)Oscar Goodman (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011932±3.2%45%38%––16%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorDean Heller (R)Catherine Cortez Masto (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011932±3.2%46%37%––16%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorDean Heller (R)Ross Miller (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011932±3.2%46%34%––21%

with John Ensign

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJohn Ensign (R)Shelley Berkley (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 11–12, 2010763±3.6%49%40%––11%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011932±3.2%42%45%––13%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJohn Ensign (R)Catherine Cortez Masto (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 16–18, 2010630±3.9%48%38%––14%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011932±3.2%42%44%––14%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJohn Ensign (R)Oscar Goodman (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 11–12, 2010763±3.6%43%41%––16%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011932±3.2%35%45%––20%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJohn Ensign (R)Ross Miller (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 11–12, 2010763±3.6%47%36%––18%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 3–5, 2011932±3.2%39%40%––21%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJohn Ensign (R)Dina Titus (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 16–18, 2010630±3.9%51%41%––8%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportTossupNovember 1, 2012
Inside ElectionsTilt RNovember 2, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallLean RNovember 5, 2012
Real Clear PoliticsTossupNovember 5, 2012

Results

On election day, Heller edged out Berkley by just over a point, at the same time Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney by 6.7%, becoming the only Republican in 2012 to win a senate seat in a state that voted for Obama in the presidential election.

United States Senate election in Nevada, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDean Heller (incumbent)457,65645.87–9.49
DemocraticShelley Berkley446,08044.71+3.72
Independent AmericanDavid Lory VanDerBeek48,7924.89+3.56
None of These Candidates45,2774.54+3.12
Majority11,5761.16–13.21
Total votes997,805100.0
Republican holdSwing–6.60

By county

CountyDean Heller RepublicanShelley Berkley DemocraticVarious candidates Other partiesMarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Carson City13,48858.3%7,51032.5%2,1359.2%5,97825.8%23,133
Churchill7,06969.6%2,01319.8%1,08110.6%5,05649.8%10,163
Clark277,45940.9%338,62950.0%61,6049.1%-61,170-9.1%677,692
Douglas16,64464.5%6,95227.0%2,1948.5%9,69237.5%25,790
Elko11,84074.8%2,65316.8%1,3448.7%9,18758.0%15,837
Esmeralda30871.0%6214.3%6414.8%24656.7%434
Eureka63679.1%8710.8%8110.1%54968.3%804
Humboldt3,87668.1%1,12419.8%69112.1%2,75248.3%5,691
Lander1,56772.9%36116.8%22110.3%1,20656.1%2,149
Lincoln1,53271.9%34716.3%25111.8%1,18555.6%2,130
Lyon13,70364.4%5,40425.4%2,16610.2%8,29939.0%21,273
Mineral1,05952.4%61230.3%34917.3%44722.1%2,020
Nye9,56155.4%5,26730.5%2,43814.2%4,29424.9%17,266
Pershing1,19464.3%39621.3%26814.5%79843.0%1,858
Storey1,37559.5%67329.1%26211.3%70230.4%2,310
Washoe93,77850.5%73,16439.4%18,62510.0%20,61411.1%185,567
White Pine2,56769.6%82622.4%2958.0%1,74147.2%3,688
Totals457,65645.9%446,08044.7%94,0699.4%11,5761.2%997,805

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Heller won two of four congressional districts.

DistrictBerkleyHellerRepresentative
1st58.57%31.6%Dina Titus
2nd34.27%55.83%Mark Amodei
3rd43.34%47.93%Joe Heck
4th48.26%42.38%Steven Horsford

See also

Notes

External links

Official campaign sites