2010 United States Senate election in New York
In-game article clicks load inline without leaving the challenge.
The 2010 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 2, 2010, along with elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a third term. Schumer won every county except for Wyoming, Tioga, and Hamilton counties.
Background
In the 2004 U.S. Senate election, Schumer had defeated Republican Assemblyman Howard Mills by a 71 to 24 percent margin. Schumer was highly popular in New York, and it was believed that any Republican contender would likely not fare well against him in 2010. Schumer was heavily favored to retain his seat.
In addition to this regular election, there was also a special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Hillary Clinton, who became the United States Secretary of State on January 21, 2009. In addition, there was the New York gubernatorial election. The existence of two other top-level statewide races, one with a Democratic incumbent perceived as vulnerable and the other an open race, respectively, was believed to lead major New York Republicans to gravitate towards them rather than challenge the popular Schumer.
Republican nomination
Convention
Candidates
- Gary Berntsen, retired CIA officer, received the party's endorsement on the second round of balloting
- Martin Chicon, candidate for New York Senate in 2008 and New York Republican State Committee member from upper Manhattan.
- George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller
- James Staudenraus, Long Island resident and 2008 state assembly candidate
- Jay Townsend, Republican strategist (finished second and also qualified for the primary)
Results
Only two candidates, Berntsen and Townsend, obtained at least 25% of the vote at the New York State Republican Convention on June 1, 2010. Berntsen came in first, but still needed to win the primary in order to win the Republican nomination. Berntsen lost the primary to Jay Townsend.
Primary
Candidates
- Gary Berntsen
- Jay Townsend
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jay Townsend | 234,440 | 55.41% | |
| Republican | Gary Berntsen | 188,628 | 44.59% | |
| Total votes | 423,068 | 100.00% |
General election
Candidates
- Anti-Prohibition Party: Randy Credico
- Conservative Party of New York: Jay Townsend
- Democratic Party: Chuck Schumer
- Green Party: Colia Clark
- Libertarian Party: Randy Credico
- Republican Party: Jay Townsend
- Taxpayers Party: Gary Berntsen
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Solid D | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Safe D | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe D | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Safe D | October 26, 2010 |
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer (D) | $17,302,006 | $11,824,587 | $16,048,482 | $0 |
| Jay Townsend (R) | $197,365 | $180,693 | $16,671 | $105,854 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chuck Schumer (D) | Jay Townsend (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | May 17–20, 2010 | 808 | ± 3.4% | 63% | 24% | — | 13% |
| Siena College | June 7–9, 2010 | 808 | ± 3.4% | 60% | 26% | — | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 16, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 54% | 33% | 6% | 6% |
| Siena College | July 12, 2010 | 808 | ± 3.4% | 63% | 26% | — | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 58% | 36% | 3% | 4% |
| Survey USA | September 20, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 4.2% | 54% | 33% | 10% | 3% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 7, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 63% | 27% | 6% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 19, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 59% | 31% | 5% | 5% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 28–29, 2010 | 541 | ± 4.2% | 61% | 35% | 4% | — |
| Siena College | October 27–30, 2010 | 603 | ± 4.0% | 64% | 32% | — | 2% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chuck Schumer | 2,686,043 | 58.47% | ||
| Working Families | Chuck Schumer | 183,672 | 4.00% | ||
| Independence | Chuck Schumer | 177,396 | 3.86% | ||
| Total | Chuck Schumer (incumbent) | 3,047,111 | 66.33% | −5.89 | |
| Republican | Jay Townsend | 1,238,947 | 26.97% | ||
| Conservative | Jay Townsend | 240,777 | 5.24% | ||
| Total | Jay Townsend | 1,479,724 | 32.21% | +8.02 | |
| Green | Colia Clark | 42,340 | 0.92% | +0.62 | |
| Libertarian | Randy Credico | 24,863 | 0.54% | +0.24 | |
| Total votes | 4,594,038 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Aftermath
Credico sued the New York State Board of Elections under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, claiming unfair treatment regarding ballot access. Despite being nominated by both the Libertarian Party and the Anti-Prohibition Party, in most jurisdictions, he only appeared on the ballot once. On June 19, 2013, the Federal District Court for the Eastern District of New York ruled in favor of Credico. The New York State Board of Elections did not appeal this decision.
External links
- at Project Vote Smart
- from OurCampaigns.com
- from Open Secrets
- graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- from Rasmussen Reports
- from Real Clear Politics
- from CQ Politics
- from The New York Times