The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The party primaries were held on August 28, 2018.

The state congressional delegation changed from a 16–11 Republican majority to a slim 14–13 Republican majority, one short from a Democratic flip. These were seen as the most seats Democrats had attained in Florida since 1982. As noted in the vote table below, Florida does not count votes in uncontested races, so the votes in the four uncontested seats held by Democratic members of the House are not counted in the totals or percentages on this page, and each under counts the votes for Democrats in Florida.

Results summary

Statewide

PartyCandi- datesVotesSeats
No.%No.+/–%
Republican223,675,41752.35%14251.85%
Democratic273,307,22847.10%13248.15%
Independent638,5500.55%00.00%
Write-in82810.00%00.00%
Total637,021,476100.00%27100.00%
Popular vote
Republican52.35%
Democratic47.10%
Independent0.55%
Write-in0.00%
House seats
Republican51.85%
Democratic48.15%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1216,18967.06%106,19932.94%00.00%322,388100.00%Republican hold
District 2199,33567.44%96,23332.56%00.00%295,568100.00%Republican hold
District 3176,61657.62%129,88042.38%00.00%306,496100.00%Republican hold
District 4248,42065.16%123,35132.35%9,4782.49%381,249100.00%Republican hold
District 589,79933.22%180,52766.78%00.00270,326100.00%Democratic hold
District 6187,89156.31%145,75843.69%00.00%333,649100.00%Republican hold
District 7134,28542.31%183,11357.69%00.00%317,398100.00%Democratic hold
District 8218,11260.50%142,41539.50%00.00%360,527100.00%Republican hold
District 9124,56541.98%172,17258.02%00.00%296,737100.00%Democratic hold
District 10Democratic hold
District 11239,39565.14%128,05334.84%580.02%367,506100.00%Republican hold
District 12194,56458.09%132,84439.66%7,5102.24%334,918100.00%Republican hold
District 13134,25442.36%182,71757.64%00.00%316,971100.00%Democratic hold
District 14Democratic hold
District 15151,38053.02%134,13246.98%200.01%285,532100.00%Republican hold
District 16197,48354.56%164,46345.44%00.00%361,946100.00%Republican hold
District 17193,32662.26%117,19437.74%00.00%310,520100.00%Republican hold
District 18185,90554.30%156,45445.70%00.00%342,359100.00%Republican hold
District 19211,46562.27%128,10637.72%360.01%339,607100.00%Republican hold
District 2000.00%202,65999.92%1650.08%202,824100.00%Democratic hold
District 21Democratic hold
District 22113,04937.98%184,63462.02%00.00%297,683100.00%Democratic hold
District 2399,44635.98%161,61158.48%15,3095.54%276,366100.00%Democratic hold
District 24Democratic hold
District 25128,67260.45%84,17339.55%00.00%212,845100.00%Republican hold
District 26115,67849.13%119,79750.87%00.00%235,475100.00%Democratic gain
District 27115,58845.76%130,74351.76%6,2552.48%252,586100.00%Democratic gain
Total3,675,41752.35%3,307,22847.10%38,8310.55%7,021,476100.00%

District 1

The 1st district stretches along the Emerald Coast and is located in the western Panhandle anchored by Pensacola, it also includes Fort Walton Beach, Navarre, and Wright. Incumbent Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+22.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Cris Dosev, businessman and candidate for this district in 2016
  • John Mills, retired U.S. Navy pilot

Endorsements

U.S. executive branch officials

Statewide officials

Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMatt Gaetz (incumbent)65,20364.8
RepublicanCris Dosev30,43330.2
RepublicanJohn Mills4,9925.0
Total votes100,628100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Jennifer M. Zimmerman, pediatrician

Eliminated in primary

  • Phil Ehr, U.S. Navy commander

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJennifer M. Zimmerman22,42260.5
DemocraticPhil Ehr14,65039.5
Total votes37,072100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe RNovember 5, 2018
538Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Florida's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMatt Gaetz (incumbent)216,18967.1
DemocraticJennifer M. Zimmerman106,19932.9
Total votes322,388100.0
Republican hold

District 2

The 2nd district is located in the Big Bend region and is anchored by Panama City, and includes the suburbs of Tallahassee. Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Brandon Peters, lawyer

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorBrandon PetersBob RackleffUndecided
Bold Blue Campaigns (D-Peters)August 21–23, 201840747%36%17%

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBob Rackleff29,39550.8
DemocraticBrandon Peters28,48349.2
Total votes57,878100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe RNovember 5, 2018
538Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanNeal Dunn (incumbent)199,33567.4
DemocraticBob Rackleff96,23332.6
Total votes295,568100.0
Republican hold

District 3

The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida and includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Incumbent Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected to a third term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

State legislators

Local officials

Primary results

Republican primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTed Yoho (incumbent)54,84876.3
RepublicanJudson Sapp17,06823.7
Total votes71,916100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Dushyant Gosai, educator
  • Tom Wells, businessman

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticYvonne Hayes Hinson31,65559.5
DemocraticTom Wells17,66333.2
DemocraticDushyant Gosai3,8837.3
Total votes53,201100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe RNovember 5, 2018
538Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe RNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Labor unions

Results

Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTed Yoho (incumbent)176,61657.6
DemocraticYvonne Hayes Hinson129,88042.4
Total votes306,496100.0
Republican hold

District 4

The 4th district is located in the First Coast region and is made up of the Jacksonville metropolitan area including Jacksonville Beach and St. Augustine. Incumbent Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Rob Ficker

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Ges Selmont, attorney

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe RNovember 5, 2018
538Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe RNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Labor unions

Results

Florida's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Rutherford (incumbent)248,42065.2
DemocraticGes Selmont123,35132.4
IndependentJoceline Berrios7,1551.9
IndependentJason Bulger2,3210.6
Write-in20.0
Total votes381,249100.0
Republican hold

District 5

The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida from the state capital, Tallahassee, to Jacksonville. Incumbent Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+12.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorAlvin BrownAl LawsonUndecided
University of North FloridaAugust 17–19, 201840229%48%23%
St. Pete PollsAugust 11–12, 2018445± 4.6%27%50%23%

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAl Lawson (incumbent)53,99060.3
DemocraticAlvin Brown35,58439.7
Total votes89,574100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe DNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

Florida's 5th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAl Lawson (incumbent)180,52766.8
RepublicanVirginia Fuller89,79933.2
Total votes270,326100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

The 6th district is located in the Surf Coast region and includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Deltona, and Palm Coast. Incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected to a third term with 59% of the vote in 2016. He did not run for re-election in 2018, rather opting to run for governor of Florida. The district had a PVI of R+7.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Statewide officials

State legislators

Organizations

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorFred CostelloMike WaltzJohn WardUndecided
St. Pete PollsAugust 10, 2018528± 4.3%16%40%21%23%
St. Pete PollsJuly 18, 2018477± 4.5%21%20%21%38%

Primary results

Republican primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Waltz32,91642.4
RepublicanJohn Ward23,59330.4
RepublicanFred Costello21,07427.2
Total votes77,583100.0

Democratic primary

Florida's 6th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Stephen Sevigny, radiologist
  • John Upchurch, attorney

Withdrawn

  • Robert Coffman, commercial pilot

Endorsements

Labor unions

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorStephen SevignyNancy SoderbergJohn UpchurchUndecided
St. Pete PollsAugust 17, 2018407± 4.9%19%50%12%20%
St. Pete PollsJuly 18, 2018420± 4.8%10%30%13%46%

Debate

2018 Florida's 6th congressional district democratic primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticDemocraticDemocratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Stephen SevignyNancy SoderbergJohn Upchurch
1Aug. 2, 2018The Daytona Beach News-JournalPPP

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticNancy Soderberg32,17455.6
DemocraticJohn Upchurch13,08822.6
DemocraticStephen Sevigny12,63321.8
Total votes57,895100.0

General election

Endorsements

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Local officials

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorMike Waltz (R)Nancy Soderberg (D)Undecided
GQR Research (D)October 1–4, 2018400± 4.9%45%45%9%
St. Pete PollsSeptember 19, 2018730± 3.6%47%43%10%
GQR Research (D)September 4–6, 2018400± 4.9%47%46%

Debate

A debate was scheduled for September 25, but it was cancelled.

2018 Florida's 6th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Mike WaltzNancy Soderberg
1Oct. 2, 2018WESHGreg FoxPP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLean RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsLean RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallLean RNovember 5, 2018
RCPLikely RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosLean RNovember 5, 2018
538Lean RNovember 7, 2018
CNNLikely ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoLean RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Florida's 6th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Waltz187,89156.3
DemocraticNancy Soderberg145,75843.7
Total votes333,649100.0
Republican hold

District 7

The 7th district is centered around downtown Orlando and the northern Orlando suburbs such as Sanford and Winter Park. Incumbent Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of Even.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Chardo Richardson, former president of the ACLU

Endorsements

U.S. executive branch officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Organizations

Individuals

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticStephanie Murphy (incumbent)49,06086.2
DemocraticChardo Richardson7,84613.2
Total votes56,906100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Vennia Francois, policy advisor
  • Scott Sturgill, former Seminole County Soil & Water Conservation District Supervisor and state house candidate in 2014

Declined

Endorsements

U.S. senators

State legislators

Local officials

  • Bob Dallari, Seminole County commissioner
  • Carlton Henley, Seminole County commissioner
  • John Horan, Seminole County commission chairman

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

Local officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorVennia FrancoisMike MillerScott SturgillUndecided
St. Pete PollsAugust 20, 2018321± 5.5%8%42%26%24%

Primary results

Republican primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Miller30,62953.9
RepublicanScott Sturgill17,25330.4
RepublicanVennia Francois8,95015.8
Total votes56,832100.0

General election

Endorsements

U.S. executive branch officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Individuals

  • Mark Kelly, retired astronaut, engineer, and U.S. Navy Captain

U.S. senators

State legislators

Organizations

Local officials

  • Bob Dallari, Seminole County commissioner
  • Carlton Henley, Seminole County commissioner
  • John Horan, Seminole County commission chair

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorStephanie Murphy (D)Mike Miller (R)Undecided
St. Pete PollsAugust 30, 2018435± 4.7%47%46%7%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLikely DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsLikely DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallLikely DNovember 5, 2018
RCPLean DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosLikely DNovember 5, 2018
538Likely DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoLikely DNovember 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 7th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticStephanie Murphy (incumbent)183,11357.7
RepublicanMike Miller134,28542.3
Total votes317,398100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

The 8th district includes the Space Coast region and the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Vero Beach. Incumbent Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 15th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Sanjay Patel, management consultant

General election

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe RNovember 5, 2018
538Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe RNovember 4, 2018
Florida's 8th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Posey (incumbent)218,11260.5
DemocraticSanjay Patel142,41539.5
Total votes360,527100.0
Republican hold

District 9

The 9th district is located in inland Central Florida including Kissimmee, St. Cloud, and Winter Haven. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorAlan GraysonDarren SotoUndecided
SurveyUSAAugust 2–6, 2018512± 5.4%38%45%17%

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDarren Soto (incumbent)36,58666.4
DemocraticAlan Grayson18,52833.6
Total votes55,114100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Wayne Liebnitzky, engineer and nominee for this seat in 2016

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe DNovember 4, 2018

Debate

2018 Florida's 9th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Darren SotoWayne Liebnitzky
1Oct. 21, 2018WESHGreg FoxPP

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorDarren Soto (D)Wayne Liebnitzky (R)Undecided
SurveyUSAOctober 2–7, 2018535± 6.4%48%40%11%

Results

Florida's 9th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDarren Soto (incumbent)172,17258.0
RepublicanWayne Liebnitzky124,56542.0
Total votes296,737100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

The 10th district is centered around Orlando and the surrounding suburbs such as Lockhart, Oak Ridge, and Zellwood. Incumbent Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.

Democratic primary

Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Wade Darius, businessman

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticVal Demings (incumbent)73,60175.0
DemocraticWade Darius24,53425.0
Total votes98,135100.0

Republican primary

No Republicans filed.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe DNovember 4, 2018

Incumbent Val Demings ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Demings was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

Florida's 10th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticVal Demings (incumbent)UnopposedN/a
Total votesN/a
Democratic hold

District 11

The 11th district is located in Central Florida and includes the southern suburbs of Ocala and Spring Hill, this district also includes the retirement community known as The Villages. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 8th district from 2011 to 2013 and the 10th district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+15.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Dana Cottrell, teacher

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe RNovember 5, 2018
538Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Florida's 11th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDaniel Webster (incumbent)239,39565.2
DemocraticDana Cottrell128,05334.8
IndependentLuis Saldana (write-in)580.0
Total votes367,506100.0
Republican hold

District 12

The 12th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Dade City, New Port Richey, and Palm Harbor. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 2007 to 2013, was re-elected to a sixth term with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Chris Hunter, former federal prosecutor

Eliminated in primary

  • Stephen Perenich, tax preparer
  • Robert Tager, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2016

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Hunter31,76165.3
DemocraticStephen Perenich9,30319.1
DemocraticRobert Tager7,59715.6
Total votes48,661100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe RNovember 5, 2018
538Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe RNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorGus Bilirakis (R)Christopher Hunter (D)Undecided
St. Pete PollsJuly 28, 2018615± 4.0%49%30%21%

Results

Florida's 12th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGus Bilirakis (incumbent)194,56458.1
DemocraticChris Hunter132,84439.7
IndependentAngelika Purkis7,5102.2
Total votes334,918100.0
Republican hold

District 13

The 13th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Clearwater, Largo and Saint Petersburg. Incumbent Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+2.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • George Buck, educator

Eliminated in primary

  • Brad Sostack, navy veteran

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGeorge Buck30,56056.0
RepublicanBrad Sostack24,01344.0
Total votes54,573100.0

General election

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPLikely DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoLikely DNovember 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 13th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCharlie Crist (incumbent)182,71757.6
RepublicanGeorge Buck134,25442.4
Total votes316,971100.0
Democratic hold

District 14

The 14th district is centred around the city of Tampa and the immediate surrounding suburbs such as Lutz and Temple Terrace. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a sixth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.

Castor was the only candidate in 2018, and so was unopposed in the Democratic primary and general election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

No Republicans filed.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe DNovember 4, 2018

Incumbent Kathy Castor ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Castor was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.

Endorsements

Labor unions

Results

Florida's 14th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKathy Castor (incumbent)UnopposedN/a
Total votesN/a
Democratic hold

District 15

The 15th district is located in inland Central Florida and is anchored by Lakeland. The district also includes the eastern suburbs of Tampa such as Brandon and Riverview. Incumbent Republican Dennis Ross, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2011 to 2013, was retiring.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Loretta "Leah Lax" Miller, former IDF officer
  • Curt Rogers
  • Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative

Declined

Endorsements

State legislators

Newspapers

U.S. representatives

Sheriffs

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorNeil CombeeSean HarperDanny KushmerEd ShoemakerRoss SpanoOtherUndecided
St. Pete PollsAugust 24, 2018404± 4.9%32%6%5%8%30%20%
St. Pete PollsAugust 11–12, 2018360± 5.2%36%4%4%5%30%22%
Strategic Government ConsultingAugust 7–8, 2018508± 4.3%31%4%3%4%17%40%
SurveyUSAJuly 25–30, 2018524± 6.0%20%6%7%7%26%34%
St. Pete PollsJuly 8, 2018532± 4.2%20%3%2%4%32%2%37%
St. Pete PollsMay 25–27, 2018494± 4.4%23%4%4%4%29%2%34%

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRoss Spano26,86844.1
RepublicanNeil Combee20,57733.8
RepublicanSean Harper6,0139.9
RepublicanDanny Kushmer4,0616.7
RepublicanEd Shoemaker3,3775.5
Total votes60,896100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Kristen Carlson, attorney

Eliminated in primary

  • Andrew Learned, naval reserve officer
  • Ray Pena, retired police officer

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorKristen CarlsonAndrew LearnedRay PeñaOtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 25–30, 2018535± 6.1%31%12%12%46%
GQR Research (D-Carlson)June 14–17, 2018401± 4.9%25%14%10%6%45%

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKristen Carlson24,47053.4
DemocraticAndrew P. Learned14,48831.6
DemocraticRaymond "Ray" Peña6,89515.0
Total votes45,853100.0

General election

Endorsements

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Sheriffs

Labor unions

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of Oct 17, 2018
Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
Kristen Carlson (D)$1,306,227$1,065,973$240,254
Ross Spano (R)$587,719$519,283$68,435
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorRoss Spano (R)Kristen Carlson (D)OtherUndecided
St. Pete PollsNovember 5, 20181,194± 2.8%46%44%9%
NYT Upshot/Siena CollegeOctober 16–19, 2018499± 4.7%43%43%14%
Remington (R)October 17–18, 20181,369± 2.64%47%41%12%
GQR Research (D-Carlson)October 16–18, 2018400± 4.9%47%47%6%
SurveyUSAOctober 9–14, 2018591± 4.6%45%45%3%7%
WPA Intelligence (R)October 3–4, 2018418± 4.9%46%39%15%
Bold Blue Campaigns (D)September 22–27, 2018500± 4.5%49%46%5%
GQR Research (D-Carlson)September 4–8, 2018400± 4.9%47%48%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportTossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsTilt RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallLean RNovember 5, 2018
RCPTossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosLean RNovember 5, 2018
538TossupNovember 7, 2018
CNNTossupOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoLean RNovember 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 15th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRoss Spano151,38053.0
DemocraticKristen Carlson134,13247.0
IndependentDave Johnson (write-in)150.0
IndependentJeffrey G. Rabinowitz (write-in)30.0
IndependentAlek Bynzar (write-in)20.0
Total votes285,532100.0
Republican hold

District 16

The 16th district is located in the Suncoast region and includes Bradenton, Sarasota, and some Tampa suburbs such as FishHawk. Incumbent Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 13th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a sixth term with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Florida's 16th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.

Candidates

Nominee

  • David Shapiro, attorney

Eliminated in primary

  • Jan Schneider, attorney

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDavid Shapiro34,78754.7
DemocraticJan Schneider28,81145.3
Total votes63,598100.0

General election

Debate

2018 Florida's 26th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Vern BuchananDavid Shapiro
1Oct. 23, 2018WWSB-TVAlan CohnPP

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorVern Buchanan (R)David Shapiro (D)Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)October 4–7, 2018400± 4.9%52%42%5%
University of North FloridaSeptember 30 – October 2, 201849949%40%11%
St. Pete PollsOctober 1, 20181,248± 2.8%50%43%6%
ALG Research (D-Shapiro)August 22–26, 2018400± 4.9%48%44%
St. Pete PollsJuly 28, 2018681± 3.8%44%35%22%
Public Policy Polling (D)April 16–17, 2018655± 3.8%49%37%14%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLean RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsLikely RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallLikely RNovember 5, 2018
RCPLean RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosLikely RNovember 5, 2018
538Likely RNovember 7, 2018
CNNLikely ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoLean RNovember 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 16th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanVern Buchanan (incumbent)197,48354.6
DemocraticDavid Shapiro164,46345.4
Total votes361,946100.0
Republican hold

District 17

The 17th district comprises most of the Florida Heartland, including the cities of Sebring and Okeechobee, as well as parts of the Suncoast, such as North Port and Port Charlotte. Incumbent Republican Tom Rooney, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 16th district from 2009 to 2013, retired. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.

Republican primary

Rooney announced on February 19, 2018, that he will retire from Congress and not seek re-election in 2018.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorBill AkinsJulio GonzalezGreg SteubeUndecided
WPA Intelligence (R-CFG)August 8–9, 2018300± 5.7%5%16%39%40%

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGreg Steube48,96362.4
RepublicanBill Akins15,13319.3
RepublicanJulio Gonzalez14,40218.3
Total votes78,498100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • April Freeman, businesswoman, nominee for the 19th district in 2014 and for this seat in 2016

Eliminated in primary

  • Bill Pollard, respiratory therapist

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticApril Freeman33,37677.0
DemocraticBill Pollard9,97623.0
Total votes43,352100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe RNovember 5, 2018
538Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe RNovember 4, 2018

Campaign

The Democratic nominee April Freeman died on September 24, 2018, six weeks before the election. Allen Ellison was chosen to be the Democratic nominee.

Endorsements

Organizations

Results

Florida's 17th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGreg Steube193,32662.3
DemocraticAllen Ellison117,19437.7
Total votes310,520100.0
Republican hold

District 18

The 18th district is located in the Treasure Coast region and includes Stuart, Port St. Lucie, and the northern Palm Beach suburbs such as Jupiter and Palm Beach Gardens. Incumbent Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+5.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Dave Cummings, educator
  • Mark Freeman, businessman

Debate

2018 Florida's 18th congressional district republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublicanRepublican
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Dave CummingsMark FreemanBrian Mast
1Aug. 3, 2018WPTV-TVMichael WilliamsYouTube (Part 1)PPP

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrian Mast (incumbent)55,42777.7
RepublicanMark Freeman8,08111.3
RepublicanDave Cummings7,87111.0
Total votes71,379100.0

Democratic primary

Florida's 18th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.

Candidates

Nominee

  • Lauren Baer, attorney and former U.S. State Department official

Eliminated in primary

  • Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016

Declined

Endorsements

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Organizations

Debate

2018 Florida's 18th congressional district democratic primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticDemocratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Lauren BaerPam Keith
1Aug. 3, 2018WPTV-TVMichael WilliamsYouTube (Part 1)PP

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticLauren Baer34,92260.3
DemocraticPam Keith23,00739.7
Total votes57,929100.0

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

Federal executive branch officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Debate

2018 Florida's 18th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Brian MastLauren Baer
1October 15, 2018WPTV-TVMichael WilliamsPP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorBrian Mast (R)Lauren Baer (D)Undecided
Change Research (D)October 27–29, 201847553%44%
Global Strategy Group (D)September 26–30, 2018600± 4.9%48%45%
Public Policy Polling (D)September 17–19, 201853346%43%10%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorBrian Mast (R)Democratic challenger (D)OtherUndecided
IMGE Insights (R)July 9–12, 201840050%40%10%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLean RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsLikely RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallLean RNovember 5, 2018
RCPLean RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosLean RNovember 5, 2018
538Likely RNovember 7, 2018
CNNLean ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoLean RNovember 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 18th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrian Mast (incumbent)185,90554.3
DemocraticLauren Baer156,45445.7
Total votes342,359100.0
Republican hold

District 19

The 19th district is located in Southwestern Florida and includes Bonita Springs, Cape Coral, and Naples. Incumbent Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 66% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • David Holden, financial adviser

Eliminated in primary

  • Todd James Truax, healthcare administrator

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDavid Holden24,39067.9
DemocraticTodd James Truax11,51332.1
Total votes35,903100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe RNovember 5, 2018
538Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe RNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorFrancis Rooney (R)David Holden (D)Undecided
Change Research (D-Holden)September 10–12, 2018468± 4.0%51%42%7%

Results

Florida's 19th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanFrancis Rooney (incumbent)211,46562.3
DemocraticDavid Holden128,10637.7
IndependentPete Pollard (write-in)360.0
Total votes339,607100.0
Republican hold

District 20

The 20th district stretches from inland South Florida with many protected areas of the Everglades and Belle Glade to the Miami metro area and includes parts of West Palm Beach & Fort Lauderdale, and Miramar. Incumbent Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 23rd district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a thirteenth term with 80% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+31.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAlcee Hastings (incumbent)50,31573.6
DemocraticSheila Cherfilus-McCormick18,03126.4
Total votes68,346100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe DNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Labor unions

Results

Florida's 20th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAlcee Hastings (incumbent)202,65999.9
IndependentJay Bonner (write-in)1650.1
Total votes202,824100.0
Democratic hold

District 21

The 21st district is located in the Miami metro area and includes the West Palm Beach suburbs, such as Greenacres and Wellington, as well as Boynton Beach and Delray Beach. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 22nd district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a third term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Incumbent Lois Frankel ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Frankel was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe DNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

Florida's 21st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticLois Frankel (incumbent)UnopposedN/a
Total votesN/a
Democratic hold

District 22

The 22nd district is located in the Miami metro area and includes Boca Raton and Parkland, the site of the Stoneman Douglas High School shooting. Also, this district includes significant portions of Fort Lauderdale and Pompano Beach. Incumbent Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 19th district from 2010 to 2013 and the 21st district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Jeff Fandl, businessman

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTed Deutch (incumbent)52,62886.5
DemocraticJeff Fandl8,20713.5
Total votes60,835100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Nicolas Kimaz, businessman

Eliminated in primary

  • Javier Manjarres, blogger
  • Eddison Walters, real estate investor

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanNicolas Kimaz13,93941.0
RepublicanJavier Manjarres11,55233.9
RepublicanEddison Walters8,54525.1
Total votes34,036100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe DNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

Florida's 22nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTed Deutch (incumbent)184,63462.0
RepublicanNicolas Kimaz113,04938.0
Total votes297,683100.0
Democratic hold

District 23

The 23rd district is located in the Miami metro area, including Plantation, Sunrise, and Weston. Incumbent Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a seventh term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Joe Kaufman, counter-terrorism researcher, founder of Americans Against Hate, candidate for this seat 2012 and nominee in 2014 & 2016

Eliminated in primary

  • Carlos Reyes, lawyer
  • Carla Spalding, navy veteran, nurse and Independent candidate for the 18th district in 2016

Endorsements

Newspapers

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJoe Kaufman11,30444.7
RepublicanCarlos Reyes8,50833.7
RepublicanCarla Spalding5,45321.6
Total votes25,265100.0

Independents

Tim Canova, who lost in the 2016 primary to Wasserman Schultz by a 57% to 43% margin, ran as an independent in the 2018 general election. Don Endriss also ran as an independent candidate.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe DNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Labor unions

Results

Florida's 23rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDebbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)161,61158.5
RepublicanJoe Kaufman99,44636.0
IndependentTim Canova13,6975.0
IndependentDon Endriss1,6120.6
Total votes276,366100.0
Democratic hold

District 24

The 24th district includes parts of Miami and its northern suburbs such as North Miami Beach and Miami Gardens. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 17th district from 2011 to 2013, was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+34.

Democratic primary

Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Ricardo de la Fuente, entrepreneur

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticFrederica Wilson (incumbent)65,89483.7
DemocraticRicardo de la Fuente12,83316.3
Total votes78,727100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Withdrawn

General election

Both candidates were removed from the ballot which was cited for the recount in the Florida gubernatorial and United States Senate elections.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DNovember 5, 2018
RCPSafe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosSafe DNovember 5, 2018
538Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNNSafe DOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoSafe DNovember 4, 2018

Results

Incumbent Frederica Wilson won unopposed in the general election

Endorsements

Labor unions

Florida's 24th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticFrederica Wilson (incumbent)UnopposedN/a
Total votesN/a
Democratic hold

District 25

The 25th district includes the western Miami suburbs, such as Hialeah and Miami Lakes, and goes across the northern border of the Everglades to eastern Naples suburbs of Golden Gate and Immokalee. The district also extends upward into the Florida Heartland including Clewiston and LaBelle. Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2011 to 2013 as well as a different version of the 25th from 2003 to 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to an eighth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Florida's 25th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Annisa Karim, Lee County Department of Parks & Recreation manager (endorsed Flores)
  • Alina Valdes, doctor and nominee for this seat in 2016 (endorsed Flores)

Endorsements

Organizations

General election

Endorsements

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorMario Díaz-Balart (R)Mary Barzee-Flores (D)Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)September 17–19, 201854141%36%22%
Public Policy Polling (D)May 21–23, 201867046%39%15%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLean RNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsSafe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallLikely RNovember 5, 2018
RCPLikely RNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosLikely RNovember 5, 2018
538Lean RNovember 7, 2018
CNNLikely ROctober 31, 2018
PoliticoLikely RNovember 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 25th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMario Díaz-Balart (incumbent)128,67260.4
DemocraticMary Barzee Flores84,17339.6
Total votes212,845100.0
Republican hold

District 26

The 26th district is centered on the Miami suburb of Homestead, includes most of the Everglades National Park, and extends downward into the Florida Keys, including Key West and Marathon. Incumbent Republican Carlos Curbelo, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Souraya Faas, television personality

Endorsements

Organizations

Newspapers

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCarlos Curbelo (incumbent)29,50684.0
RepublicanSouraya Faas5,62916.0
Total votes35,135100.0

Democratic primary

Florida's 26th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Demetries Grimes, U.S. Navy veteran

Declined

  • Steve Smith, businessman

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDebbie Mucarsel-Powell20,99763.5
DemocraticDemetries Grimes12,09536.5
Total votes33,092100.0

General election

Debate

2018 Florida's 26th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Carlos CurbeloDebbie Mucarsel-Powell
1Oct. 21, 2018WPLG-TVPP

Endorsements

Organizations

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorCarlos Curbelo (R)Debbie Mucarsel- Powell (D)Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena CollegeOctober 19–24, 2018499± 4.9%44%45%11%
Mason-DixonOctober 3–9, 2018625± 4.0%46%45%9%
GBA Strategies (D)September 27 – October 1, 2018500± 4.4%48%50%
GQR Research (D-Mucarsel-Powell)September 23–27, 2018511± 4.9%48%49%
Public Policy Polling (D)September 17–19, 201851144%45%11%
NYT Upshot/Siena CollegeSeptember 13–17, 2018509± 5.0%47%44%9%
GBA Strategies (D)July 16–22, 2018500± 4.4%48%41%
DCCC (D)March 17–22, 2018418± 4.9%45%40%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorCarlos Curbelo (R)Democratic opponent (D)Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)November 8–9, 2017522± 4.3%39%53%8%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportTossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsTossupNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallLean RNovember 5, 2018
RCPTossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosTossupNovember 5, 2018
538TossupNovember 7, 2018
CNNTossupOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoTossupNovember 2, 2018

Results

Mucarsel-Powell defeated Curbelo, becoming the first Ecuadorian American and first South American-born immigrant to serve as a member of the U.S. Congress.

Florida's 26th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDebbie Mucarsel-Powell119,79750.9
RepublicanCarlos Curbelo (incumbent)115,67849.1
Total votes235,475100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 27

The 27th district is located in the Miami metro area, including Coral Gables, Kendall, Miami Beach, and portions of Miami. Incumbent Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 18th district from 1989 to 2013, retired from office in 2018. She was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Elizabeth Adadi, U.S. Army veteran
  • Bruno Barreiro, Miami-Dade County Commissioner
  • Angie Chirino, songwriter (daughter of Cuban-American musician Willy Chirino)
  • Mike Ohevzion, businessman
  • Maria Peiro, educator and candidate for this district in 2016
  • Bettina Rodriguez-Aguilera, former Doral City Councilwoman
  • Gina Sosa, filmmaker

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorBruno BarreiroMaria Elvira SalazarOtherUndecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)August 14–16, 2018300± 5.7%16%40%17%27%
Magellan Strategies (R-Barreiro)June 11–12, 2018401± 4.9%10%24%0%67%

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMaria Elvira Salazar15,81240.5
RepublicanBruno Barreiro10,02625.7
RepublicanMaria Peiro3,1208.0
RepublicanStephen Marks2,7337.0
RepublicanAngie Chirino2,6776.9
RepublicanBettina Rodriguez-Aguilera1,6844.3
RepublicanMike Ohevzion1,4673.8
RepublicanElizabeth Adadi7752.0
RepublicanGina Sosa7601.9
Total votes39,054100.0

Democratic primary

Florida's 27th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Organizations

Individuals

  • Scott Fuhrman, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2016

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorMatt HaggmanMichael HepburnDavid RichardsonKristen Rosen-GonzalezDonna ShalalaUndecided
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)August 10–16, 2018600± 4.0%10%2%18%9%36%25%
Frederick Polls (D-Richardson)August 6–7, 2018300± 5.6%9%4%20%7%32%28%
RABA Research (D-Haggman)August 2–5, 2018433± 4.7%16%4%15%11%26%27%
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)June 2–8, 2018600± 4.0%5%2%16%8%43%26%

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDonna Shalala14,15331.9
DemocraticDavid Richardson12,19127.5
DemocraticKristen Rosen-Gonzalez7,78317.5
DemocraticMatt Haggman7,51016.9
DemocraticMichael Hepburn2,7236.1
Total votes44,360100.0

Independent campaign of Mayra Joli

Mayra Joli, a Dominican-American immigration attorney and former beauty pageant contestant, ran as a pro-Donald Trump independent candidate.

Joli later, in 2020, would attract brief national attention in 2020 after sitting in the crowd behind Trump and showing animated enthusiasm during a 2020 presidential election town hall event on NBC which attendees were advertised to be undecided voters. She attempted to run for mayor of Miami in 2021, but was disqualified due to her primary residence being located outside of the city.

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorMaria Elvira Salazar (R)Donna Shalala (D)Mayra Joli (I)Undecided
ALG Research (D)October 25–28, 2018500± 4.4%44%49%
NYT Upshot/Siena CollegeOctober 15–19, 2018542± 5.0%37%44%4%15%
ALG Research (D-Shalala)October 11–14, 2018500± 4.4%39%44%10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)October 11–14, 201840050%41%
Mason-DixonOctober 1–6, 2018625± 4.0%44%42%1%13%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)September 10–13, 2018400± 4.9%51%42%7%
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)August 29 – September 2, 2018600± 4.0%42%46%8%4%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorGeneric RepublicanGeneric DemocratOtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D)February 12–14, 2018620± 3.9%39%54%7%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside ElectionsLean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal BallLean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCPTossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily KosLean D (flip)November 5, 2018
538Likely D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNNTossupOctober 31, 2018
PoliticoTossupNovember 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 27th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDonna Shalala130,74351.8
RepublicanMaria Elvira Salazar115,58845.8
IndependentMayra Joli6,2552.5
Total votes252,586100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

See also

Notes

External links

Official campaign websitesDistrict 1 District 2 District 3 2018-07-24 at the Wayback Machine District 4 2018-07-24 at the Wayback Machine District 5 District 6 2017-08-24 at the Wayback Machine 2018-07-13 at the Wayback Machine District 7 District 8 District 9 District 10 District 11 District 12 District 13 2023-03-11 at the Wayback Machine District 14 District 15 District 16 District 17 District 18 District 19 District 20 District 21 District 22 2020-07-11 at the Wayback Machine District 23 2017-08-24 at the Wayback Machine District 24 District 25 District 26 District 27