The 2016 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Florida, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primary elections for both the Republicans and Democrats took place on August 30, 2016.

Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio ran for another term, but faced well-funded Republican primary opposition after initially announcing he would not seek re-election to his Senate seat. He had openly considered whether to seek re-election or run for president in 2016. He stated in April 2014 that he would not run for both the Senate and president in 2016, as Florida law prohibits a candidate from simultaneously appearing twice on a ballot, but did not rule out running for either office.

However, in April 2015, Rubio announced that he was running for president and would not seek re-election. He had initially said he would not run for re-election to the Senate even if he dropped out of the GOP presidential primary before he would have to qualify for the 2016 Senate primary ballot, for which the filing deadline was June 24, 2016.

On June 13, 2016, despite his previous statements that he would not run for re-election to his Senate seat, Rubio "seemed to open the door to running for re-election," citing the previous day's mass shooting in Orlando and how "it really gives you pause, to think a little bit about your service to your country and where you can be most useful to your country." On June 22, 2016, Rubio announced that he would seek re-election to the Senate, reversing his pledge not to run.

On August 30, the Republican Party nominated Marco Rubio, and the Democratic Party nominated Representative Patrick Murphy. Rubio won with the largest raw vote total in Florida history (until Donald Trump broke the record in 2020), taking a greater percentage of the popular vote than Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, who won the state in the election. He is the first Republican Senator from Florida since 1994, and only the second with Connie Mack, to be reelected to a second term. Also, Mel Martinez's victory in 2004 marks the first time that Republicans had won one of Florida's Senate seats three times in a row (Mack succeeded Lawton Chiles, a Democrat, and was succeeded by another Democrat, Bill Nelson).

Marco Rubio won 48% of the Hispanic vote and 17% of the African American vote during this election, at the time considered an exceptional number for a Republican during a presidential year. Additionally, Rubio's raw vote total was the highest vote total for any Republican Senate candidate up until Texas Senator John Cornyn broke it in 2020.

Rubio would later win by a larger 16.4% margin in 2022, including winning a majority of Hispanic voters in Florida.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Carlos Beruff, real estate developer and chair of the Florida Commission on Healthcare and Hospital Funding
  • Ernie Rivera, businessman
  • Marco Rubio, incumbent U.S. senator
  • Dwight Young, Pinellas County sheriff's deputy

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Individuals

Organizations

Individuals

Statewide officials

State legislators

Mayors and other municipal leaders

Presidents of the United States

Governors

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Statewide officials

Newspaper editorial boards

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorCarlos BeruffRon DeSantisDavid JollyIlya KatzCarlos López-CanteraMarco RubioTodd WilcoxOther/ Undecided
Mason-DixonAugust 22–24, 2016400± 5%22%————61%—15%
Florida Atlantic UniversityAugust 19–22, 2016327± 5.4%8%————69%5%15%
Florida Chamber of CommerceAugust 17–22, 2016249± 4.0%19%————68%—10%
St. Leo UniversityAugust 14–18, 2016479± 4.5%14%————68%—18%
Suffolk UniversityAugust 1–3, 2016183± 4.4%12%––––62%–26%
St. Pete PollsAugust 2, 20161,835± 2.3%22%––––55%–23%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSAJune 25–27, 2016555± 4.1%11%––––63%–13%
Vox Populi Polling (R)June 19–20, 2016487± 4.4%5%––––57%4%34%
St. Leo UniversityJune 10–16, 2016500± 7%4%5%4%1%3%52%2%27%
8%8%8%2%9%–5%57%
Mason-DixonMay 31–June 2, 2016400± 5%17%10%13%–9%–2%49%
News 13/Bay News 9March 4–6, 2016724± 3.7%1%11%18%4%9%–7%50%
Washington Post/UnivisionMarch 2–5, 2016450± 5.5%0%6%5%–6%–2%81%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 24–25, 2016464± 4.6%–14%26%–11%–2%47%
Florida Atlantic University College of BusinessJanuary 15–18, 2016345± 5.2%–8%28%–8%––57%
St. Pete Polls/Saint PetersblogDecember 14–15, 20152,694± 1.9%–18%21%–10%–8%44%
St. Leo UniversityNovember 29 – December 3, 2015147± 8%–6%12%4%8%–7%63%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015377± 5.1%–15%18%–14%––52%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorVern BuchananBen CarsonRon DeSantisDon GaetzDavid JollyGeorge LeMieuxCarlos López-CanteraBill McCollumJeff MillerTom RooneyTodd WilcoxOther/ Undecided
News 13/Bay News 9March 4–6, 2016724± 3.7%–56%–––––––––44%
Mason-DixonJuly 20–24, 2015500± 4.5%––8%–11%–7%22%6%–1%45%
––9%–16%–10%–8%–2%55%
St. Pete PollsJuly 15, 20151,074± 3.0%–—9%—22%—11%—12%—–46%
Gravis MarketingJune 16—20, 2015729± 3.6%–—16%———7%25%6%—–46%
St. Leo UniversityMay 25–31, 2015425± 4.5%–—6%4%6%3%7%16%8%—–43%
Mason-DixonApr. 14–16, 2015425± 4.8%7%–4%1%8%3%4%20%—5%–48%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJeff AtwaterPam BondiCarlos López-CanteraAdam PutnamAllen WestOther/ Undecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015425± 4.8%12%25%8%—38%18%
41%—15%——43%
Gravis MarketingFebruary 24–25, 2015513± 4%9%36%—12%—43%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 4–7, 2014818± 3.4%17%38%—16%—29%

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMarco Rubio (incumbent)1,029,83071.99%
RepublicanCarlos Beruff264,42718.49%
RepublicanDwight Young91,0826.37%
RepublicanErnie Rivera45,1533.16%
Total votes1,430,492100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Lateresa Jones, life coach and independent candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014 (running as an Independent)

Declined

Endorsements

Politicians

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspaper editorial boards

Presidents

Vice presidents

U.S. cabinet members and cabinet-level officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Mayors and other municipal leaders

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspaper editorial boards

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorAlan GraysonPam KeithLateresa JonesPatrick MurphyOther/ Undecided
Mason-DixonAugust 22–24, 2016400± 5%22%4%—55%19%
Florida Atlantic UniversityAugust 19–22, 20163648%7%—54%22%
Florida Chamber of CommerceAugust 17–22, 2016258± 4.0%11%——40%38%
St. Leo UniversityAugust 14–18, 2016532± 4.5%17%8%—48%27%
Suffolk UniversityAugust 1–3, 2016194± 4.4%17%2%–36%45%
St. Pete PollsAugust 2, 20161,807± 2.3%20%7%–45%28%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSAJune 25–27, 2016618± 4.0%21%10%–30%35%
Vox Populi Polling (R)June 19–20, 2016530± 4.3%15%5%–19%62%
Targeted PersuasionJune 14–16, 2016862± 3.34%30%5%–27%38%
St. Leo UniversityJune 10–16, 2016500± 7%14%3%4%16%61%
Mason-DixonMay 31–June 2, 2016400± 5%23%3%–31%43%
Public Policy PollingMarch 22–23, 2016829?33%––32%35%
St. Leo UniversityMarch 13–17, 2016540± 5%17%––20%63%
Mason-DixonMarch 7–9, 2016500± 4.5%19%––33%48%
SurveyUSAMarch 4–6, 2016592± 4.1%16%11%–27%46%
Bendixon & Amandi/The Tarrance GroupMarch 2–5, 2016449± 6%19%––27%54%
UnivisionMarch 2–5, 2016449± 6%29%––36%35%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 24–25, 2016388± 5%33%––22%45%
20/20 Insight LLC*~February 16–18, 2016646± 3.9%41%––32%27%
Florida Atlantic University College of BusinessJanuary 15–18, 2016371± 5%27%––20%53%
St. Leo UniversityNovember 29–December 3, 2015160± 7.5%7%4%6%17%55%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015368± 5.1%33%––27%39%
Mason-DixonJuly 20–24, 2015500± 4.5%24%––26%50%
33%––32%35%
St. Pete PollsJuly 15, 20151,018± 3.1%30%8%–23%39%
Gravis MarketingJune 16–20, 2015881± 3.3%63%––19%18%
Vox Populi Polling (R)June 15–17, 2015717± 3.7%24%––34%42%
St. Leo UniversityMay 25–31, 2015535± 4.5%24%—–27%49%
Mason-DixonApril 14–16, 2015400± 5%14%––23%63%
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015371± 5.1%22%––21%56%

* Internal poll for Alan Grayson

Results

County results
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPatrick Murphy665,98558.92%
DemocraticAlan Grayson199,92917.72%
DemocraticPam Keith173,91915.40%
DemocraticRocky De La Fuente60,8105.38%
DemocraticReginald Luster29,1382.58%
Total votes1,129,781100.00%

Libertarian primary

On October 1, 2015, Adrian Wyllie and Lynn House, chair and vice chair, respectively, of the Libertarian Party of Florida, resigned their seats in protest after the executive committee refused to oust candidate Augustus Invictus from the party. According to Wyllie, Invictus had defended eugenics, called for a new civil war, and brutally slaughtered a goat, and is not representative of the Libertarian Party. Invictus has refuted these claims, calling Wyllie's accusations "deliberate misrepresentation[s]."

Candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Roger Stone, political consultant, lobbyist and strategist

Endorsements

Individuals

  • Will Coley, activist, radio host, and former vice presidential candidate
  • Marc Allan Feldman, physician and former presidential candidate
  • Jim Gray, author, former judge and Libertarian vice presidential nominee in 2012
  • Thomas Knapp, writer, founder of the Boston Tea Party (political party), and former Reform Party vice presidential candidate
  • Gary Johnson, former governor of New Mexico and Libertarian nominee for president in 2016
  • John McAfee, CEO of MGT Capital Investments Inc, founder of McAfee Inc and former presidential candidate
  • Kevin McCormick, former presidential candidate
  • Richard Molek, chair of the Libertarian Party of Lee County
  • Darryl W. Perry, activist, author, radio host, lobbyist, former presidential candidate and former chairman of the Boston Tea Party (political party)
  • William Weld, former governor of Massachusetts and Libertarian nominee for vice president in 2016

Libertarian Party of Florida affiliates

  • Libertarian Party of Broward County
  • Libertarian Party of Collier County
  • Libertarian Party of Palm Beach County
  • Libertarian Party of Pinellas County
  • Libertarian Party of Santa Rosa County
  • Libertarian Party of Volusia County
  • Northwest Florida Libertarian Party

Organizations

  • Eastern Liberty Alliance PAC
  • Ninjas for Liberty PAC

Individuals

  • Keon A. Grayson, North Central, Miami-Dade County Community councilman
  • Steve Scheetz, former chair of the Pennsylvania Libertarian Party
  • Bill Wohlsifer, former candidate for Florida attorney general

Results

2016 United States Senate Libertarian primary in Florida by countyMap legend Stanton—50–60%Stanton—60–70%Stanton—70–80%Stanton—80–90%Stanton—>90%Invictus—50–60%Tie—50%No votes
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianPaul Stanton2,94673.48%
LibertarianAugustus Sol Invictus1,06326.52%
Total votes4,009100.00%

Independent

Candidates

Declared

  • Basil Dalack, attorney and former Tequesta village councilman
  • Lateresa Jones, life coach and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014
  • Anton "Tony" Khoury, businessman
  • Steven Machat, music producer
  • Bruce Nathan, physical therapist

No party affiliation

Candidates

Declared

  • Bruce Nathan, physical therapist

General election

Debates

DatesLocationRubioMurphyStantonLink
October 17, 2016Orlando, FloridaParticipantParticipantNot Invited
October 26, 2016Davie, FloridaParticipantParticipantNot Invited

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportLean RNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal BallLean RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political ReportLean RNovember 3, 2016
Daily KosLean RNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear PoliticsTossupNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorMarco Rubio (R)Patrick Murphy (D)Paul Stanton (L)OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkeyNovember 1–7, 20164,092± 4.6%48%49%——3%
Quinnipiac UniversityNovember 3–6, 2016884± 3.3%50%43%—2%5%
Alliance/ESA PollNovember 2–6, 2016875± 4.2%51%40%——9%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 31–November 6, 20163,574± 4.6%48%49%——3%
CBS News/YouGovNovember 2–4, 20161,188± 3.6%47%44%—3%6%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 28–November 3, 20163,356± 4.6%49%49%——2%
Breitbart/Gravis MarketingNovember 1–2, 20161,220± 2.8%47%46%——7%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion SavvyNovember 1–2, 2016603± 4.0%50%46%——4%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 27–November 2, 20162,901± 4.6%49%48%——3%
CNN/ORCOctober 27–November 1, 2016773 LV± 3.5%49%48%——2%
884 RV50%47%——3%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 27–November 1, 2016626± 3.9%50%44%—1%4%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 26–November 1, 20162,715± 4.6%49%47%——4%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 25–31, 20162,809± 4.6%49%47%——4%
TargetSmart/William & MaryOctober 25–28, 2016718± 3.4%49%43%—7%1%
Emerson CollegeOctober 26–27, 2016500± 4.3%49%47%—3%1%
New York Times Upshot/Siena CollegeOctober 25–27, 2016814± 3.4%51%42%——5%
Breitbart/Gravis MarketingOctober 25–26, 20161,301± 2.7%46%46%——8%
Public Policy PollingOctober 25–26, 2016742± 3.6%46%46%——8%
NBC/WSJ/MaristOctober 25–26, 2016779 LV± 3.5%51%43%—4%2%
990 RV± 3.1%50%42%—4%3%
St. Leo UniversityOctober 22–26, 20161,028± 3.0%44%39%——17%
University of North FloridaOctober 20–25, 2016836± 3.6%49%43%——8%
Bloomberg/SelzerOctober 21–24, 2016953± 3.2%51%41%——8%
Florida Atlantic UniversityOctober 21–23, 2016500± 4.3%46%42%——12%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSAOctober 20–24, 20161,251± 2.8%45%41%—6%8%
CBS News/YouGovOctober 20–21, 20161,042± 3.6%44%42%—6%8%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion SavvyOctober 20, 2016538± 4.2%46%46%——8%
Google Consumer SurveysOctober 18–20, 2016500± 4.2%57%38%——5%
Associated Industries of FloridaOctober 19, 20161,000± 3.1%43%38%—8%11%
Florida Chamber of CommerceOctober 16–19, 2016507± 4.4%51%37%—1%11%
The Times-Picayune/LucidOctober 17–18, 2016892± 3.0%45%44%——11%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 10–16, 2016660± 3.8%49%47%——4%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkeyOctober 8–16, 20161,702± 0.5%51%45%——4%
Public Policy PollingOctober 12–13, 2016985± 3.1%44%38%6%—12%
48%43%——9%
Breitbart/Gravis MarketingOctober 11–13, 20161,799± 2.3%44%36%——20%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion SavvyOctober 10–11, 2016533± 4.2%48%44%——8%
NBC/WSJ/MaristOctober 3–5, 2016700± 3.7%48%46%—2%4%
Associated Industries of FloridaOctober 2–5, 2016600± 4.0%49%41%—1%9%
Breitbart/Gravis MarketingOctober 4, 2016821± 3.4%44%40%——16%
Emerson CollegeOctober 2–4, 2016600± 3.6%47%39%—6%8%
University of North FloridaSeptember 27–October 4, 2016667± 3.8%48%41%—1%10%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 27–October 2, 2016545± 4.2%48%44%——8%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion SavvySeptember 28–29, 2016619± 4.0%47%43%——10%
Mason-DixonSeptember 27–29, 2016820± 3.5%47%40%5%2%6%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 27–28, 2016826± 3.4%42%35%9%—15%
47%44%——9%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 19–21, 2016500± 4.4%43%34%2%4%17%
Florida Chamber of CommerceSeptember 15–20, 2016617± 4.0%46%42%——11%
Monmouth UniversitySeptember 16–19, 2016400± 4.9%47%45%—3%5%
Saint Leo UniversitySeptember 10–16, 2016502± 4.5%44%35%——21%
New York Times Upshot/Siena CollegeSeptember 10–14, 2016867± 3.3%48%42%——8%
CNN/ORCSeptember 7–12, 2016788 LV± 3.0%54%43%—1%2%
886 RV51%45%—1%4%
Global Strategy GroupSeptember 6–11, 2016800± 3.5%47%45%——8%
JMC Analytics (R)September 7–8, 2016781± 3.5%43%38%—4%15%
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 31–September 7, 2016601± 4.0%50%43%—1%6%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 4–6, 2016744± 3.6%40%37%10%—13%
Mason-DixonAugust 22–24, 2016625± 4.0%46%43%——11%
iCitizenAugust 18–24, 2016600± 4.0%43%42%——16%
Florida Atlantic UniversityAugust 19–22, 20161,200± 2.7%44%39%——17%
St. Leo UniversityAugust 14–18, 20161,380± 3.0%46%38%——16%
Monmouth UniversityAugust 12–15, 2016402± 4.9%48%43%—3%5%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion SavvyAugust 10, 2016622± 4.0%45%43%——12%
Civis AnalyticsAugust 9–15, 20161,436± 2.8%44%45%——9%
NBC/WSJ/MaristAugust 4–10, 2016862± 3.3%49%43%—3%5%
Public Policy PollingAugust 5–7, 2016938± 3.2%42%40%——18%
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 30–August 7, 20161,056± 3.0%48%45%——7%
Suffolk UniversityAugust 1–3, 2016500± 4.4%46%33%——21%
JMC Analytics (R)July 9–10, 2016700± 3.7%40%33%—5%21%
NBC/WSJ/MaristJuly 5–11, 2016871± 3.3%47%44%—2%7%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 30–July 11, 20161,015± 3.1%50%37%—1%8%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSAJune 25–27, 20161,678± 2.4%43%43%—7%8%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%47%40%——13%
Public Policy PollingJune 15–16, 2016508± 4.4%41%42%——17%
Public Policy PollingJune 2–5, 2016737± 3.6%43%44%——13%
Associated Industries of FloridaApril 25–27, 2016604± 5.0%49%41%——10%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015814± 3.4%46%40%——14%
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%48%41%——11%
Mason-DixonMarch 3–5, 2015800± 3.5%50%38%——12%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 4–7, 2014818± 3.4%46%41%——12%

with Ron DeSantis

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorRon DeSantis (R)Alan Grayson (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%33%41%1%24%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%38%36%—26%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 24–25, 20161,012± 3.1%34%40%—26%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 25-October 5, 20151,173± 2.9%31%37%1%26%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015814± 3.4%37%36%—28%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 4–15, 20151,147± 2.9%32%38%1%29%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorRon DeSantis (R)Patrick Murphy (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%32%42%1%25%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%35%36%—29%
Associated Industries of FloridaApril 25–27, 2016604± 5%28%40%—32%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 24–25, 20161,012± 3.1%31%43%—26%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 25-October 5, 20151,173± 2.9%30%37%1%29%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015814± 3.4%35%40%—25%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 4–15, 20151,147± 2.9%31%39%1%29%
St. Leo UniversityMay 25–31, 2015535± 4.5%14%33%—53%

with David Jolly

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorDavid Jolly (R)Alan Grayson (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%34%41%1%24%
Public Policy PollingJune 2–5, 2016737± 3.6%33%40%—27%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%37%35%—28%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 24–25, 20161,012± 3.1%38%35%—26%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015814± 3.4%39%36%—26%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorDavid Jolly (R)Patrick Murphy (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%34%41%1%25%
Public Policy PollingJune 2–5, 2016737± 3.6%29%44%—27%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%34%37%—29%
Associated Industries of FloridaApril 25–27, 2016604± 5%33%40%—27%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 24–25, 20161,012± 3.1%34%38%—27%
Democracy CorpsOctober 24–28, 2015400± 4.9%44%43%—13%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015814± 3.4%35%40%—25%
St. Leo UniversityMay 25–31, 2015535± 4.5%14%35%—52%

with Carlos Lopez-Cantera

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorCarlos López-Cantera (R)Alan Grayson (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%35%40%1%24%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%37%37%—26%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 24–25, 20161,012± 3.1%35%38%—26%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 25-October 5, 20151,173± 2.9%32%35%1%27%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015814± 3.4%34%41%—24%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 4–15, 20151,147± 2.9%31%37%1%31%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 17–28, 20151,087± 3%33%32%1%34%
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%36%40%—24%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorCarlos López-Cantera (R)Patrick Murphy (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%32%41%1%26%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%34%38%—28%
Associated Industries of FloridaApril 25–27, 2016604± 5%31%42%—27%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 24–25, 20161,012± 3.1%31%40%—29%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 25-October 5, 20151,173± 2.9%29%37%1%30%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015814± 3.4%35%41%—24%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 4–15, 20151,147± 2.9%28%40%1%32%
St. Leo UniversityMay 25–31, 2015535± 4.5%15%30%—56%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 17–28, 20151,087± 3%31%35%1%33%
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%34%41%—25%

with Jeff Atwater

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJeff Atwater (R)Alan Grayson (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 17–28, 20151,087± 3%42%32%1%25%
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%41%40%—19%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJeff Atwater (R)Patrick Murphy (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 17–28, 20151,087± 3%38%34%1%27%
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%41%39%—20%
Mason-DixonMarch 3–5, 2015800± 3.5%46%32%—22%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJeff Atwater (R)Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)Undecided
Mason-DixonMarch 3–5, 2015800± 3.5%45%35%20%

with Pam Bondi

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorPam Bondi (R)Alan Grayson (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%45%42%13%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorPam Bondi (R)Patrick Murphy (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%45%41%14%

with Don Gaetz

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorDon Gaetz (R)Patrick Murphy (D)Undecided
St. Leo UniversityMay 25–31, 2015535± 4.5%9%36%55%

with Jeff Miller

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorJeff Miller (R)Patrick Murphy (D)Undecided
St. Leo UniversityMay 25–31, 2015535± 4.5%15%34%52%

with Marco Rubio

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorMarco Rubio (R)Alex Sink (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 27–29, 2013579± 4.1%45%42%13%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorMarco Rubio (R)Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)Undecided
Mason-DixonMarch 3–5, 2015800± 3.5%53%36%11%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 4–7, 2014818± 3.4%47%43%9%
Public Policy PollingJune 6–9, 2014672± 3.8%48%40%12%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 27–29, 2013579± 4.1%46%43%11%

with Allen West

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorAllen West (R)Alan Grayson (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%39%42%19%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorAllen West (R)Patrick Murphy (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%39%41%20%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorAllen West (R)Alex Sink (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 27–29, 2013579± 4.1%38%44%18%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorAllen West (R)Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)Undecided
Public Policy PollingJune 6–9, 2014672± 3.8%41%40%19%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 27–29, 2013579± 4.1%40%44%16%

with Todd Wilcox

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorTodd Wilcox (R)Alan Grayson (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%34%39%2%24%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%37%35%—28%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorTodd Wilcox (R)Patrick Murphy (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%31%41%1%26%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%33%38%—27%

with Carlos Beruff

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorCarlos Beruff (R)Alan Grayson (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 30–August 7, 20161,056± 3.0%39%43%1%17%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 30–July 11, 20161,015± 3.1%38%38%1%19%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%33%40%1%25%
Public Policy PollingJune 2–5, 2016737± 3.6%32%41%—28%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%35%36%—29%
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorCarlos Beruff (R)Patrick Murphy (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 30–August 7, 20161,056± 3.0%34%48%1%17%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 30–July 11, 20161,015± 3.1%34%40%1%19%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%31%43%1%26%
Public Policy PollingJune 2–5, 2016737± 3.6%31%43%—27%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27–May 8, 20161,051± 3.0%32%38%—29%
Associated Industries of FloridaApril 25–27, 2016604± 5.0%31%39%—30%

with Alan Grayson

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredSample sizeMargin of errorMarco Rubio (R)Alan Grayson (D)OtherUndecided
iCitizenAugust 18–24, 2016600± 4.0%44%39%—16%
St. Leo UniversityAugust 14–18, 20161,380± 3.0%47%34%—19%
Monmouth UniversityAugust 12–15, 2016402± 4.9%50%39%5%6%
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 30–August 7, 20161,056± 3.0%49%43%1%8%
Suffolk UniversityAugust 1–3, 2016500± 4.4%45%31%—24%
JMC Analytics (R)July 9–10, 2016700± 3.7%41%33%4%22%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 30–July 11, 20161,015± 3.1%50%38%1%8%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016975± 3.1%50%38%1%11%
Public Policy PollingJune 15–16, 2016508± 4.4%42%40%—17%
Public Policy PollingJune 2–5, 2016737± 3.6%43%38%—19%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–13, 2015814± 3.4%48%38%—14%
Public Policy PollingMarch 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%49%40%—11%

Results

County Flips: Democratic Hold Gain from Republican/Independent Republican Hold Gain from Independent
United States Senate election in Florida, 2016
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanMarco Rubio (incumbent)4,835,19151.98%+3.09%
DemocraticPatrick Murphy4,122,08844.31%+24.11%
LibertarianPaul Stanton196,9562.12%+1.66%
IndependentBruce Nathan52,4510.56%N/A
IndependentTony Khoury45,8200.49%N/A
IndependentSteven Machat26,9180.29%N/A
IndependentBasil E. Dalack22,2360.24%N/A
Write-in1600.00%0.00%
Total votes9,301,820100.00%N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

Counties that from Independent to Republican

By congressional district

Rubio won 16 of 27 congressional districts, with the remaining 11 going to Murphy. Each candidate won a congressional district that elected a representative of the other party.

DistrictRubioMurphyRepresentative
1st70%25%Jeff Miller
Matt Gaetz
2nd66%30%Gwen Graham
Neal Dunn
3rd59%37%Ted Yoho
4th68%28%Ander Crenshaw
John Rutherford
5th41%56%Corrine Brown
Al Lawson
6th57%39%Ron DeSantis
7th49%46%John Mica
Stephanie Murphy
8th59%36%Bill Posey
9th46%50%Alan Grayson
Darren Soto
10th40%56%Daniel Webster
Val Demings
11th62%33%Rich Nugent
Daniel Webster
12th56%38%Gus Bilirakis
13th47%48%David Jolly
Charlie Crist
14th44%52%Kathy Castor
15th54%41%Dennis Ross
16th55%40%Vern Buchanan
17th62%33%Tom Rooney
18th52%45%Patrick Murphy
Brian Mast
19th65%31%Curt Clawson
Francis Rooney
20th21%77%Alcee Hastings
21st42%55%Lois Frankel
22nd43%55%Ted Deutch
23rd40%58%Debbie Wasserman Schultz
24th20%78%Frederica Wilson
25th60%38%Mario Díaz-Balart
26th49%48%Carlos Curbelo
27th48.5%49.3%Ileana Ros-Lehtinen

See also

External links

Official campaign websites